8am today - Front with N winds leaving James Bay
8am tomorrow (Weds) - the same front has pushed to the southern Great Lakes - bringing N to NW winds...
It seems as though there will be some rain to contend with in the morning - so perhaps waterbirds would be a worthy target first thing...
Or perhaps the rain will be just a bit too "delayed" and Thursday will be the first day of steller birding:
Thursday at 8am - clear skies, local NE to ENE winds...
Could produce a few jaegers/sabine's... Passerines on the move... Or hawks too!
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On Monday I had ~100 Broad-winged Hawks on my drive to work, randomly inland --- so I'd fear a little bit that they're leaving Ontario without concentrating at the hawkwatches - but just maybe there will be enough left for either day to bring a big flight
The rain early tomorrow is too hard to predict at a local scale in terms of dropping passerine migrants... Perhaps part of the beauty - is that there's an equal chance it will be a spectacular drop of birds, or completely block everything from dropping down into your area... Which will it be??? We know that huge numbers will be migrating through the night to Thursday morning --- but without the rain, there is also a much lower chance of mind-boggling numbers dropping down...
In terms of waterbirds, I think Lake Huron would be a safe bet tomorrow morning... Otherwise Erie isn't a great deal on N winds, but you can be surprised.. Lake Ontario will also be hit or miss both days... Winds may be "too" NW for Van Wagner's - but perhaps Fifty Point or Port Wellar (or something) could produce some desired seabirds/shorebirds?? Thursday is perhaps safer with true NE winds, but you'll have the sun to deal with early at VWB (which is awful) and winds will be getting lighter throughout the day - so who knows what will be blowing by the afternoon watch...
Regardless - it should be a very enjoyable few days of birding - given that we are getting a nice little cold front right smack in the middle of September!
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