Sunday, November 23, 2014

Rarity Alert Continues

2/3pm radar as the low "wraps up" and is (likely) bombing out... My red arrow shows the path of rarities arriving

By 9am tomorrow, the "back side" of the rain will already be free of southern Ontario - that's a fast moving storm track - with winds from the southern USA - arriving in a single night

Surface winds at 2/3pm (same as the radar image on the top) look pretty dull... 

850mb winds (a bit higher off the surface) - Winds at 2/3pm - blowing in from Texas until it hits the rain - and strong!

850mb wind forecast for tomorrow (monday) morning. What birds are migrating right now in Arkansas??? Cause that's where I'd look to get an idea... Winds will be direct to southern Ontario - strong - and little to no rain in the way.

Water vapor at 9ish pm - showing the clear/dry skies behind the system

Ebird says some of the following are currently chillin in Arkansas - Geese (Snow, GWF), Avocets, Franklin's Gulls, Harris's Sparrows, 

Ugh - that was a boring list... Let's try Oklahoma - Geese, Western Grebe, Frank Gulls, LB Dowitchers, EC and WW Doves, Golden-fronted Woodpecker, Prairie Falcon, Scissor-tailed Fly, Rock/Bewicks Wren, Curve-billed Thrasher, Spotted Towhee, Harris's Sparrow....

Well, it's a start. Let's see if anything gets found! Rare birds are rare for a reason. 

1 comment:

  1. I'm watching this storm explode and zoom northwards - and am reminded of post-tropical cyclones that push through Newfoundland (very rapidly) but don't seem to bring any birds...

    Should still be something good out there though! 45kt SW winds tomorrow morning at Fort Erie...