Sunday, April 7, 2013

Cool weather




So yeah... I meant to get that OBRC post out a LONG time ago, but it finally happened... Think they're good ideas?


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WE have some cool weather in the works for the next few days....

Sunday morning (today!) could be good for some new migrants... I feel like Tuesday morning could be darn entertaining as well..


Overall this is really early -but I feel like we'll get some cool birds somewhere in southern Ontario due to this... This warm flow with a strong jet stream seems to be responsible for many a rarity in the past....


Some maps:



The classic shape for rarities (above) - forecast



Severe weather outlook... Tornadoes in the USA = rarities in Ontario with a setup like this 



Stronger jet helps make Tornadoes!



Check out the short range:


And longer range: 




To see what's happening over the next 4-6 days! The NAO is going positive for the first time in several weeks which really speeds up our weather pattern flow --- which (as you can see from the maps) is why we're going to get a few different weather systems zip past over that time frame...





8-14 day temp outlook makes me think we're going to get a mix for the next two weeks or so.... Should mean we'll get more migrants that we did in March ! But we'll also still have some chilly mornings every few days...







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