More on the 2012 big year stuff

Yeah I was bored.....

Went through the OBRC reports from 2004 to 2011 and wanted to see what type of "Code 4 + " rarities turned up each year after August 20th-ish.....

Note: these are the "twichable / gettable" birds for each year.. .Not every occurrence... (Eg,/ a bird banded at the tip of long point is not get-able"

Also note, I'm only using species Josh still needs for his big year...

final note: I'm not counting either "plegadis" ibis species... just cause...


2004:

Northern Gannet
Rufous Hummingbird
Black-throated gray Warb
Black-necked Stilt
Fork-tailed Flycatcher (long-staying in Thunder Bay - worth the drive!)
Pyrrhuloxia


2005:

Northern Gannet
Rufous Hummingbird
Swainson's Hawk

(yikes).......


2006:

Manx Shearwater
Tricoloured Heron
Swainson's Hawk
Slaty-backed Gull
Razorbill


2007:

Eurasian Collared Dove
Rufous Hummingbird
Northern Wheatear
Townsend's Solitaire (note, the only OBRC records are from the south...North not included here)
Black-throated Gray Warb
Northern Gannet


2008:

Northern Gannet
Slaty-backed Gull
Fork-tailed Flycatcher (was the bird at Pelee twitchable the day of? Or was it too late in teh day? I don't remember)...
Townesend Solitaire
Black-throated Gray Warb


2009:

Rufous Hummingbird (? maybe)
Black-tailed Gull (?) - this was a very easy bird to miss, so unlikely)
Barn Owl (?) -another poorly known bird at the time
Phainopepla
Black-throated Sparrow
Black-throated Gray Warb


2010:

Anna's Hummingbird (no one really saw it, but maybe in a "big year" setting like this, word would get to him sooner?)
Rufous Hummingbird (possible)
Golden-crowned Sparrow (another poorly reported bird)
Painted Bunting


2011:

Common Eider
Purple Gallinule
Slaty-backed Gull
Razorbill
Smew (although he doesn't need this, it was too rare to ignore for 2011)

Two of the more recent "regular" code 4 birds for Ontario...... 

So it looks like you could reasonably hope to twitch 4 "code 4 and above" level rarities in the fall, unless everything goes to heck... 

Which is sort of what I predicted he still needs...

So in short, finding 1-3+ "rarities" aside from twitching, which is doo-able in a decent fall, with lots of spare time, should still keep the record very much in reach (still banking on 340!)